Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 5.682772 6.485183 7.371607 8.425348 9.646281 11.019286 12.684318
2025-03-16 4.474576 5.480197 6.679892 8.223280 10.165773 12.541990 15.688079
2025-03-23 3.958533 5.111856 6.569894 8.562316 11.235575 14.728403 19.686878
2025-03-30 3.511819 4.731626 6.347422 8.666511 11.945849 16.471207 23.282655
2025-04-06 3.122653 4.360533 6.066359 8.619391 12.396376 17.861466 26.520132
2025-04-13 2.798225 4.031695 5.791426 8.524482 12.733716 19.088726 29.635420
2025-04-20 2.624954 3.895132 5.767579 8.779908 13.601285 21.184842 34.350607
2025-04-27 2.460142 3.749772 5.708609 8.963482 14.361654 23.182137 39.156075
2025-05-04 2.349389 3.673379 5.742546 9.288982 15.375835 25.695965 45.173488
2025-05-11 2.137417 3.414740 5.459804 9.058750 15.419825 26.553729 48.333289
2025-05-18 1.972874 3.217331 5.256357 8.936918 15.629314 27.710592 52.184403
2025-05-25 1.832115 3.046454 5.080208 8.841068 15.867480 28.934039 56.314489
2025-06-01 1.695835 2.873783 4.889258 8.705721 16.029070 30.054041 60.449546
2025-06-08 1.563646 2.697161 4.675910 8.507383 16.047589 30.896670 64.130659
2025-06-15 1.526127 2.684947 4.753696 8.860941 17.177078 34.079902 73.322319
2025-06-22 1.457020 2.609142 4.707735 8.969361 17.823367 36.344664 80.812749
2025-06-29 1.373458 2.499561 4.588861 8.920470 18.136257 37.934824 86.979339
2025-07-06 1.291182 2.385863 4.452452 8.821931 18.330702 39.285018 92.774397
2025-07-13 1.257848 2.363399 4.490737 9.087147 19.343177 42.592842 103.968164
2025-07-20 1.218136 2.325140 4.494090 9.277774 20.209281 45.670742 115.093955
2025-07-27 1.195907 2.319780 4.562884 9.615815 21.450309 49.800133 129.749708
2025-08-03 1.118305 2.196349 4.378931 9.376708 21.308158 50.523789 135.124349
2025-08-10 1.057193 2.102626 4.250100 9.250189 21.422803 51.906564 142.618739